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Indian's Woes - Parts 1-8 (2/18/26) PART 1 (November 18, 2017): Evaluation,
Analysis & Background What
is the Woes Series? The
core issues with the US moto market are:
Cars
and Bikes Have Parted Ways Cars and motorcycles initially started together very simply as an engine with wheels and totally open to the elements. In the '30s and '40s people drove a lot of open top cars too. Jumping to the '70s, even then cars were quite unrefined, no one used a seatbelt, cars had no safety features, such as airbags or ABS and windows were almost always kept open and you worked on your car as you did on your bike. It was from the '90s when cars began to part ways completely from motorcycles by becoming more and more insular and cocoon like. Now fast-forward to today, cars and bikes occupy totally different worlds. Cars have become incredibly protective, loaded with safety features, such as wraparound airbags, proximity and lane-departure warnings, self-parking, emergency braking, very good audio and entertainment systems and foolproof environmental controls. This major shift between cars and bikes may not matter to baby boom generation but it certainly affects the younger US generations who were driven around in rolling fortresses with rear seat LCD screens for games and entertainment. This sense of long-term on-road isolation doesn't translate to fanaticism about motorcycles. Future
Automotive Buying Trends - Personal Transportation Revolution This new month-by-month leasing trend is already being offered by Ford, Cadillac and Porsche. Basically the participants only commit to one month at a time. No long-term commitment needed. So you can drive one car for a month, then try another for the next month and then another with all costs covered including insurance and maintenance, or drive the same car for many months within mileage limits. In most cases cars are delivered to and picked up from your location for free. So you can order a Ford in April, then pay more and book a Cadillac for May and increase your budget to order a Porsche for summer fun and go back to Ford if you feel like saving money the following month. We're in the midst of a personal transportation revolution and the US moto market is missing out on it. Out of deep love for our sport and for the industry, the Woes series was created to help revive the US moto market and suggest ways to reverse or at least slow down the negative sales trend. The focus of the Woes series is only the US market. Our Woe's series was launched with a real bang, an epic 5-part Harley's Woes article. It received tens of thousands of hits, new subscribers and many forwards of our MOTO eMAG. The Woes series is basically a direct, no-nonsense, industry focused analysis and report on popular moto brands for the all-important US market. This is what we, the marketing types, share with executives of major brands. You see, you can sell a basic scooter anywhere in the world but a $15K+ 1000c+ bike can find home only in a few select countries and the US is one of the biggest markets. After Harley's Woes, we covered another favorite brand that used to be owned by H-D, MV's Woes, and then a brand that H-D actually was very hot on buying in Sept '17, Ducati's Woes. And the 4th is Harley's longtime rival Indian's Woes. The
Very Unique Case of Indian Motorcycles Here's a true American brand, selling cruisers in a cruiser-loving US market. A made in the USA prestigious product, which is now owned by a major industrial company that knows how to build things well. So, it should be all systems go for Indian. However, one element is not being taking too seriously and that's marketing. Polaris'
Indian
However, Polaris seems not to have learned from the marketing mistakes of their former motorcycle brand, Victory. The
Demise of Victory The
US Moto Marketing is on Auto Pilot At BMW motorcycles, primarily between 2003 and 2008, due to high talent ratio and very hard work we won the hearts and minds of American riders and made once a pariah moto brand, especially among the younger riders, hot again. I'll cover the successful strategy at BMW's '00 years in detail with BMW's Woes in a future issue. Successful
Marketing = Winning Hearts & Minds PART 2 (December 7, 2017):
Point-By-Point
Marketing Ideas & Solutions Even the mighty Honda, world's largest moto brand, can't really crack it in the US, like H-D. However, Indian is the only company that has a chance for taking some slice of the pie away from H-D if they play their cards right. What is Polaris' ultimate agenda with Indian Motorcycles, are they looking to just duplicate the low market penetration of the defunct Victory brand? Are all they want is 2% market share? If that's the goal we can stop right here, since 2% market penetration is well within their reach. Alternatively,
if Polaris is planning a higher goal for Indian, they may want to continue
reading. When
in Rome... Below is a rapid-fire list of ideas to help Indian regain massive market share in the US. However, one thing is painfully obvious, if they follow Victory's marketing blueprint, they'll end up in the same ditch, as its already being predicted by some financial analysts. So, when you're in Harley country, do as Harley does.
The
US Motorcycle Brands Masculinity Perception Index Among Euro bikes Triumph enjoys the highest rating in the US because Triumph is associated with two of the most popular and badass American male icons of all time, Steve McQueen and Marlon Brando. You can't buy nor bottle this grade of smart and masculine heritage. So Triumph has that in their line up. The Motorcycle Brands Masculinity Index is brand indicator and not rider indicator. US riders are attracted to the brand with highest level of perception of masculinity. Up
the Masculinity Index Lose
the Nice Guy Image Loosen
Up on the Heritage
Baggers
are All We Need That's because the Bagger segment is owned in whole by Harley. There is a popular bar near me that's a Bagger's hang out. During the warmer seasons, I spot 60 or so Baggers all lined up as I may be walking by. They all look exactly the same. All the Baggers there are black maybe for an occasional burgundy, they are all Harley with zero exception, they are all new with large LCD screens and loud audio systems being ridden by guys in their 50's and up who want to have a good time. So they park their hogs and play music on their bike audio system and crowds gather and they basically start a party on the street. You won't be able to cut into that crowd with a Honda or Yamaha cruiser, but Indian is the only brand in the world that can crack that code if they decide to blend in instead of looking different. Note to Indian, consider ditching the old design patterns with your wonderful Baggers and try to create a lineup of great American made machines that would fit nearly undetected in that local bar's Baggers hangout. Consider larger LCD screens and a way superior sound system, so when the party starts they all come to that other great American brand to crank up the volume. The
Nonexistent Non-Harley US Cruiser Market Not
an Alternative to Harley, Join the Harley Community I haven't seen such clever marketing taglines from any other moto brand since those days. Maybe one, and that was from Suzuki also back in the 00's. Their genius line was "if you don't win, it's your fault." What has happened to the moto marketing in the US that last of the clever taglines are now 15 years old. Indian needs a shot of cutzpa aka cojones. There is no real non-Harley cruiser market in the US. It's all owned by Harley. Hence going after the miniscule group of baby boomers who rather ride a non-Harley cruise will only place them in the old Victory market segment, which Indian certainly doesn't deserve and they can definitely do better. So if Indian actually wants massive market penetration they need to join the Harley community. And who is more welcome in hog world than one of Americas oldest and most admired motorcycle brands. Competitions
and Giveaways PRICELESS
IDEA: Complementary Routine Maintenance for Life of Warranty Complete
Marketing Plans Indian's
Woes Conclusion |
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PART
3 (October
4, 2018): |
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To say MOTO is shaking up the US industry is an understatement. Our groundbreaking "Woes" is viewed by tens of thousands of people. There is very little non-Harley US cruiser market, so in our "Indian's Woes" we suggested that they stop looking different and try to blend in with the H-D crowd. We're delighted they listened and lost the hump. |
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PART
4 (March
21, 2019): A lot of brands make the colossal mistake of thinking of their offerings as industrial products only and they assume just by releasing some stats, putting on a fresh coat of paint, getting some press exposure and offering couple of hundred dollars in incentives people will flock to their machines. As it's painfully obvious by now it doesn't work that way, specially for premiums. People buy premiums only because of brand association and no other reason. If a company can't instill high level of brand-pride it won't succeed. The case in point, the only marketing I've seen from Indian for sometime was the recent Jack Daniels edition. Now, there is nothing wrong with special editions if they are part of a larger multi-tier marketing plan. But if a special edition is all you're doing then it doesn't send a strong message about a premium brand's marketing direction. The
Eluding Harley Factor Today, with our new bike sales on a shrinking path and boomer generation gradually retiring from riding and also from buying new bikes and our industry hampered by a glut of like-new used bikes, one could argue that perhaps the era of massive growth for brands in the US maybe over. Also the new bike-buying trend in the US is shifting more to lighter-weight, smaller and cheaper bikes, which of course means less revenue and hence less profit for the brands. And this specially is not a good indicator for premiums, who thrive on large displacements and expensive price tags. The
Silver Lining |
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PART
5 (May
23, 2019): Indian
Motorcycle Rentals PART
6 (September
18, 2025): PART 7 (November 19, 2025):
60M Bikes, Only 0.5% Premium? The real world of motorcycling belongs to the low-end people movers in Asia. They sell by the tens of millions annually. The total motorcycle and scooter production globally is about 60M. Of that, only a single digit percentage belongs to the second place, the midrange category. That market segment typically covers from 500 to 900cc in the West. And at a very distant 3rd place, is what we consider premium, large displacement, high-end machines at 1000cc+ (1500cc+ for cruisers). They occupy only an estimated 0.5% of the global market and their numbers are shrinking. US and Europe Market Shares The US only contributes 0.8% and Europe 6% to the total global two-wheel market. This should clarify how massive the Asian market segment really is. Select but Shrinking Elite Fan Base There are just so many people out there willing to spend $20-30K+ on a motorcycle, that requires not only expensive maintenance and insurance, but also proper care and garaging, plus the skill to ride safely. There is no scenario to suggest that sales of large displacement premium two-wheels will rise beyond the current numbers. I have predicted that the premium segment has peaked. I dont see 20/30-year-olds wishing to purchase precious expensive bikes (with terrible resale values), when they can buy nice $6-12K midrange bikes loaded with tech, that are lightweight, easy to maneuver and care for, with much better resale values. The used market is also deflating the new bike sales with like new low miles being sold at the fraction of their original price. There is however a serious downside to low price bikes for premium brands. Ill explain in Part 2. Harleys Slow Death is Not an Isolated Event The large displacement premium segment belongs to the Baby Boomers and the Gen X and their numbers are naturally shrinking. These 2 generations can never be duplicated. Harleys double digit annual losses reflect systematic attrition of this particular market segments customer base. The King is Dead, Long Live the Peasants? Harley is the all-time champion of the unique American style two-wheel boulevard machines known as cruisers. Harley had it all, including a fanatical cult following who worshiped the brand and paid any amount dealers asked for. H-D didnt even need to radically update their styling year after year, like every other brand in the world, and that added to their very healthy profit margins. I announced that market segment dying off, 8 years ago, on this eMag with the first of the Harleys Woes series of articles with a tagline of "Bless the Boomers." Unfortunately, there is no other king to replace Harley in the premium cruiser segment, as the future of motorcycling belongs to smaller displacement machines. In the West, the midrange segment will continue to dominate. End of Part 1. Tune in the next Issue for Part 2 of Should We Kiss Indian Goodbye. PART 8 (February 18, 2026):
Lets translate that to motorcycles. I moved to the largest motorcycle market in the US, 12 years ago. I look and try to ID every motorcycle that passes by. In over a decade that I have been in California, by far the most popular make and model of a bike (that I must have spotted in the thousands), is Harley Baggers. Not just any H-Ds or any Baggers, but specifically Harley Baggers. They are everywhere out here. They are ridden by loud and proud owners, who have been programmed to believe that they are riding the best bikes in the world. Let them dream! The next group of bikes in a distant 2nd are Japanese bikes and other Harleys. The Japanese that dominate these roads are older midrange bikes. Thats just about it. I may spot 1 or 2 BMWs a year, and perhaps 1 Ducati every few years. I have never seen a KTM or Aprilia. I have never ever in all these 12 years seen a single Indian motorcycle on the road. When I think of Indian two things come to mind and none are pleasant: Casinos and IT support. Why in the world anyone would want to promote that or be seen with that brand, unless perhaps they are part of those 2 groups. Even Indian brands dont call themselves Indian, they use terms like Hero, TVS and Royal Enfield. Yes, truth hurts, but this is what independent journalism is about. Indian Motorcycles died in1953 and it stayed dead. Since then, the rights changed hands a dozen times, and certain investors tried to milk Indian by releasing some models here and there. To Polaris credit, they handled the redo with dignity, however, they were too late to the game. US motorcycle market forever changed in 2008 when the sales crashed by over 50% from 1.1 million to 500K. This market has never recovered. First, allow me to congratulate Polaris for finding a buyer. This was a masterstroke of luck. As the brand has no real future, in any capacity. If the King cant sell bikes, the clones have no chance. Indian Motorcycles is not 125 years old. It is 73 years dead. Let me wrap this with a positive spin. If the new owners consider a sub brand, they might have a chance. For example, a model segment called American. Plant a gorgeous American in script on the tanks and get rid of the stigma of the current name. I'd be proud to ride a motorcycle with that logo on the tank. They do not need to change anything else, same company, same bikes, same engines just a script change. (Note to new owners, I am an industry professional who advises companies, if you take my advice without proper acknowledgment, it will not be cool.) This one is free, since you are already using Challenger, splash that on the tanks and replace Indian. Challenger is a great name to be shown on motorcycle tanks. They should also structure their business based on 15K units a year, because in my opinion thats where they are headed. Finally, cheap bikes in low volumes will not save them, their new boss has already dismissed them, which is good. I wish the new owners, who have never owned an automotive brand before, specially one with union workers, best of luck. And if you would like to consult with me, I might be able to change your trajectory. |
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