Ducati's Woes - Parts 1 - 16 (9/19/24) PART 1 (October 19, 2017): Evaluation,
Analysis & Background Just to paint you a clear picture of the state of Euro bikes sales in the US. BMW, Ducati and Triumph sales combined were only about 7% of total motorcycle sales in the US in 2016. Now that I have your attention, let's explain our Woes series for many new readers who would be viewing this issue for the first time. Our Woe's series
was launched with a real bang, an epic 5-part Harley's
Woes article. It received tens of thousands of hits, new subscribers
and many forwards of our MOTO eMAG. The Woes series is basically a direct,
no-nonsense, industry focused analysis and report on popular moto brands
for the all-important US market. This is what we, the marketing types,
share with executives of major brands. You see, you can sell a basic scooter
anywhere in the world but a $15K+ 1000cc+ bike can find home only in a
few select countries and the US is one of the biggest markets. After Harley's
Woes, we covered another favorite brand that used to be owned by H-D,
MV's Woes.
And now we're covering a brand that H-D actually was very hot on buying
just a month ago, Ducati's Woes. The
Good News The
Elusive US Market
The differences are vast and there is basically zero commonality between the US and foreign moto markets. Yet, the Euro brands continuously make the same mistake of trying to use European marketing methods for the very unique US territory. Selling
European Sports Cars vs Sportbikes in The US Since there's such high interest in European sports cars in the US, why doesn't that translate to European sportbike sales? Let's break that down:
How
to Gain Superbike Sales in The US
PART 2 (November 1, 2017): Unique
Obstacles to Growth & Stigmas + Specific Point by Point Suggestions
& Solutions Ducati
Stigmas in the US There are some old stigmas that still haunt Ducati in the US and until they are dealt with they'll dampen the US sales indefinitely. Ducati Stigmas in the US
Ducati Stigmas Point-by-Point Solutions 1.
High price of entry. Their superbike is priced out of reach of the American buyers. Yamaha for example is offering 3 flavors of the R1, starting at just $14,999 for the S model and up to $22,499 for the M. 2018 BMW RR has only a $15,995 MSRP which includes ABS (normally a $1000 option). The US riding public doesn't look at a brand in segments. Meaning they don't just look at the Scrambler and say Duc's are cheap. They look at the brand's hottest bikes and decide from there. And all Ducati's top bikes basically start at around 20 grand, including the Panigale, the Multistrada ($18K), and XDiavel. Their pricing alone is restraining their sales. And this is not at all the case with parent company VW's car brands. Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Lamborghini and Porsche all enjoy a receptive nation here. US market loves expensive Euro cars, in fact it can't get enough of them but doesn't care for expensive Euro bikes. 2.
High cost of maintenance. A good way to handle this stigma is not to be coy about it, but bluntly echo through the press and social media with advertising and promo videos that those days are gone. Ducatis now require very infrequent service intervals some every 18,000 miles for Desmo Service (valve check). PRICELESS
IDEA: Complementary Routine Maintenance for Life
of Warranty 3.
Unreliable. As with Point 2, start by educating the public about how reliable Ducatis are. Also sponsoring and promoting long distance rides and riders on Ducatis and showcasing recent Ducatis with high mileages. Or even offer awards for highest mileage Ducatis in the US. At BMW we used to offer a very popular program awarding high mileage riders. But again as with Point 2, complementary service will also combat this stigma quite effectively. It sends the message that Ducati is so confident about their bikes that they'll cover all service charges on all new Ducatis. A message like this will not go unnoticed and the US riding public will respond. 4.
Shortage of large dealership network nationwide. Growth
vs Exclusivity
5.
Not for me, it's too cliquey. BMW had the same image problem, except BMW people weren't Ducatisti types they where instead old college professors and square older engineers, who wore weird helmets that cracked open in half (now popular flip helmets). Why would anyone want to join that camp? Now they do, thanks to a massive but very successful campaign that was launched with the previous US marketing team, which I was a part of, with the most effective years being 2003-2008. By the time we launched the RR in 2009, the US market was primed and ready for BMW. Again, I'll cover BMW's marketing strategy and their current dilemmas in full detail with BMW's Woes in a future issue. Ducati
Should Avoid Above Male Models for US Promotion Solution: Use region-friendly marketing images. Use real American riders to promote your bikes in the US. Or always use fullface helmets with dark tinted visors on the riders. This way you avoid viewer reaction to promo riders and instead the focus goes to the machine. 6. Ducati doesn't exude a masculine image. Ducati is
Not Patek Philippe European moto brands don't get the masculinity image concept in the US, because it doesn't really exist in Europe and they keep thinking that if something works in Europe it must therefore work in the US. This misplaced notion may work for Prada shoes but not for motorcycles. The
US Motorcycle Masculinity Perception Index Among Euro bikes Triumph enjoys the highest rating in the US because Triumph is associated with two of the most popular and badass American male icons of all time, Steve McQueen and Marlon Brando. You can't buy nor bottle this grade of smart and masculine heritage. So Triumph has that in their line up. Although KTM is not being shown in the image above but they also enjoy a relative high masculinity perception rating, however they're primarily known as a dual-sport brand in the US. The Motorcycle Brands Masculinity Index is brand indicator and not rider indicator. US riders are attracted to the brand with highest level of perception of masculinity. Brand
Awareness Solution: In order for this multi layer campaign to work it requires a healthy marketing budget. So heads up to VW/Audi for considering such a budget. As a side Audi can interject their cars as product placement in this campaign to recoup some of the high cost. However, the budget will be a fraction of what car companies typically spend on advertising, marketing and PR in the US. So it's totally doable. This campaign will only work if people see it and in order for people to see it, it then must be shown everywhere. So a miniscule budget will not cut it. The only workable solution for miniscule budgets is to get a couple of influencers to talk about your brand and all that will get you is more Likes and followers on social media. You can't change a brand perception and shift away from stigmas with just banner ads either. It requires a major and sustained marketing push. Complete
Marketing Plans Ducati's
Woes Conclusion PART 3 (August 8, 2018): A
Case for Harley-Ducatson The Blessed Union of Harley-Ducatson
PART 4 (November 11, 2020): VW
Planning Total EV Fleet by 2030 - Ducati Not Part of that Vision There are 3 key possible scenarios for the next custodian of Ducati. We covered VW's past flirtation with a Ducati sale extensively. At that time I was rooting for H-D. I think Ducati is the lifeblood that H-D needs, but I don't think H-D can afford it anymore. There is always a possibility of an Indian brand scooping Duc. But at this early stage my bet is on KTM (owned by Pierer Mobility and Bajaj). KTM has made it very clear that they want Ducati and in fact Ducati would fit very well within their lineup. KTM has become quite successful but they badly need an awesome line of all-street bikes and Ducati is it. If KTM does buy Ducati, I hope they take that brand back to its core principals of prestigious and premium road-only performance bikes. Pierer/Bajaj has no need for a single more off-road vehicle and Ducati has no business getting mud all over it. Ducati shouldn't try to be another BMW with models catering to every whim. The world needs a purist on-road performance brand and with the right ownership Ducati could easily achieve that status. PART 5 (January 13, 2021): Not
Enough Votes + Ducati NA FBI Raid Just before Christmas, FBI raided Ducati NA's corporate offices and the homes of its top execs (in NorCal). The reason for this raid hasn't been made public by the Feds but seems to be financial. FBI on their website explain that they target white collar crime mainly in the areas of corporate fraud and falsification of financial information. PART
6 (April
14, 2021): Jaguar Land Rover CEO recently made a shocking but very honest announcement, he said we could increase our production by 100K if we made more reliable cars. Imagine if Ducati CEO was that upfront. Here's an interesting twist, Ducati announced an uncharacteristically rather OK compensation package to the new Multi owners affected by the recall. This package involves $1500 in Ducati branded merchandise and free service for the life of warranty (2 years). A seemingly generous recall compensation package, a sales report for the previous year in late March of the next year stating, it really wasn't that bad. Even though the year in question was during once in a hundred years global crisis, and a FBI raid. There are only 3 logical explanations: 1. Perhaps their top brass is attempting to save their jobs. 2. They're also trying not to give VW any more excuses to sell the brand. 3. An unlikely explanation could also be they are softening the blow for a less than stellar first quarter report. Time will tell. PART
7 (May
12, 2021): Ducati announced their Q1 '21 to be about 2% above '19. That's very good, but again, we'll know better by Q1 of next year. Their US division is estimated to hit about 6,500 units this year (that's very low). This brand has so much potential in the US, if they only get out of their own way. PART 8 (July 14, 2021):
It's
Time! Ignite the US Market for Euro Brands Complementary
Maintenance for Life of Warranty on BMW Motorcycles and Ducati A
Boon for Dealers It's
a Win, Win, Win The
System is Already in Place PART 9 (August 3, 2021): It's Time! Ignite the US Market for Euro Brands - Part 2 "Ducati NA should really pay attention here. This is such a good idea to offer free service under warranty considering riders' concern about service cost." Anonymous dealer by request. I've been suggesting for years for BMW to follow the success of their US auto division and offer the Ultimate Care program. I've mentioned it on MOTO as well, not only in Issue 104 but also in Issue 100 and in previous discussions about BMW and Ducati. Ultimate Care is complimentary maintenance for life of warranty. BMW's moto division stealthily released a variation of this program just around the time of MOTO's last issue. My suggestion could potentially work better for Ducati, because of their higher price of entry and their ongoing reliability stigma. They could consider a 2-year trial run, for example, for models sold only in the US in 2022 and 2023. They could also limit the program to their premium line (vs Scrambler). Furthermore, they could potentially limit this offer even further to the "S" variants and higher spec machines, although by doing that they may sell a few more "S" bikes but will not attract too many new buyers, which is the whole point of this program to entice non-Ducatisti to join the club in the US. One last word on this, I hope when Ducati decides to unleash this program in the US that they make a real stink of it. I am talking separate ad budget just for their new "Welcome to the World of Ducati: The Maintenance is On Us" campaign. PART 10 (January 12, 2022): Ducati's E-Moto Mule Caught Testing The biggest news in the world of e-two-wheels is that Ducati already has a test mule (image in slideshow). I mentioned that they are planning to take over the Moto-E races starting in 2023. Although that news was highly uninspiring and seemed like a total waste of their time and resources, however, since Ducati is riding on a wave of high anxiety about their future, I can see why theyd grab onto any opportunity, no matter how small, to gain relevancy in the upcoming all EV market. Electric
- The Real Equalizer PART 11 (March 11, 2022): The Illusion of Growth Sustained by the Pandemic Will it Last? Does it Matter? Back in the early days of the pandemic I wrote that its going to create the biggest cabin fever of the century. The pandemic forced people to flock to all things outdoors and luxury. It was as though they woke up and become aware of their mortality. All outdoors related industries experienced massive growth. The pandemic may have saved our small but precious premium motorcycle market toofor now. A simple glance at the 2021 sales numbers would suggest that our industry is back. Things are looking good. Numbers are up across the board. I am happy that things are looking up for a change for the US market, but will this boost in sales last? Its a safe bet that the US premium moto market will not crash hard post pandemic. The market, naturally, will gradually stabilize. I suggest waiting a full 3 years post pandemic to get a real sense of the markets biometrics. This means that if were fully over this nightmare by the end of this year, the 2025 sales figures (revealed in 2026) will show the real health of the industry. In the meantime enjoy the ride. Record
Setting Year for Many Industries 2021 was an incredible year for diverse industries, not just automotive. Here are some headlines. Private Jets: Some of the leading global private jet companies have reported record sales in 2021. Boats: New boat sales were up 30 percent compared to the 2020. Yachts: The superyacht sales market was positively booming and it looked like new yacht sales over 30 metres (100 feet) would exceed the full year 2021. Fishing: The fishing equipment market has experienced three consecutive years of growth, according to The NPD Group. Luxury Cars: Bentley had record year and a 31% increase from 2020. Another VW brand, Porsche, sold 301,915 vehicles, an increase of 11%. I can keep going, but I think its becoming clear that the growth in all these industries wasnt related to their unique and hardworking teams, its about the sling shot effect of people reacting to the pandemic and the lockdowns. PART 12 (March 16, 2022): Ducati - A Master at Special Editions - V4 SP2 When it comes to creating multitudes of beautiful special editions, year after year, with very high price tags, Ducati rules supreme. There have been so many Diavel variations alone that Ive lost count. They up the paint scheme a bit, some red here, a bit of chrome there, a dash of yellow or a couple of CF parts or a seat or an exhaust and boom you have 7 different special editions with a cool 50% to 300% markup. I applaud that, because they really know their customer base. Ducatistis are showoffs and the brand doesnt let them down. This latest SE is called SP2 and should arrive with a price tag of $40K. Nice job! PART 13 (July 13, 2022): Ducati Wraps a Gorgeous Design around a Conventional eMoto Ducati lives in a bubble. In fact, this bubble is so large that it encompasses everyone who works for the brand. Lucky for them the Ducatisti (their fanboy customers) also live in the same bubble. Hence Ducati is destined to remain as one happy but marginal bubble brand. Is there anything wrong with this scenario. Not a thing. But wait a minute, aren't they owned by one of the largest car companies in the world with about 650K people on payroll? Would VW Group be satisfied for Ducati to remain on the margins? I think they would be, since Lamborghini (they also own) and Ferrari (they dont own) pride themselves on limited annual sales and dont wish to become like Porsche or Lexus. More on this thread of arguments in another issue, consider this just a teaser. A
Normal Looking Sportbike PART 14 (June 7, 2023): My Ducati Years Part 1 I enjoy
Moto, keep it up. So, what happened after you left BMW in 2012? We built a new Diavel website portal for the US market to house this large promo, which included prizes such as motorcycling tours of Italy on the Diavel. Back in 2012, if you received direct mail postcards, emails and Social Media posts about this Diavel promo, it was us. I also set up a demo ride experience portal and we encouraged those who demoed the new Diavel to share their experiences, with pics, on our newly built exclusive Diavel US portal. It worked out great, so our relationship with Ducati continued. I wish I could tell you stories that would rival my work with BMW, but Id have to disappoint you. Those days at BMW will never be duplicated again. Ducati has a conservative approach to marketing and they wouldnt consider clever taglines or anything remotely controversial in nature. They prefer to let the bikes speak for themselves. While I was building the Diavel US experience, I was given a Diavel S to ride around so Id know what it is I am writing about. I liked it so much that I did a very detailed review of it for my BMW Superbikes forums. If you have kept up with my writings youd know that I dont do fluff. I shared on my forums how the Diavel was the exact opposite of our K1300Ses and it would make a good companion machine. At least five K bike owners posted a comment on my forums that they bought a new Diavel because of my writeup. You see, a Diavel sucks at long distance travel, its not really comfortable for taller riders (anyone over 5 7), runs out of fuel in about 100 miles and so on, however it exceeds and shines as a boulevard cruiser. This bike is fun at 15 mph. Whereas a K13S, same as a 12-cylinder Lambo, has no business being ridden in traffic and its only suitable for long-distance high-speed miles. The K13 and the Duc devil are polar opposites, hence good garage companions. My Ducati Years Part 2 I think Ducati could benefit from clever marketing, similar to what we did at BMW, but it doesnt sit well with them. It may be a German vs Italian thing. For example, Porsche used to run ads attacking other brands with clever taglines, but I dont think I have ever seen Ferrari or Lamborghini ads with any taglines, they just showcase the machines and thats that. A simple search of funny Porsche ads brings a long list of such marketing tactics. Here are a few examples: Honestly now, did you spend your youth dreaming about someday owning a Nissan or Mitsubishi. Porsche separates Le Mans from Le Boys. It's a little too small to get laid in, but you get laid the minute you get out. Kills bugs fast. So, what we pulled off at BMW was very much in line with German style of cleverly boasting about superior machinery, but Italian brands just dont go for that. I got to have some fun with the new for 2012 1199 Panigale for promo related activities. IMO, Ducati became really worldclass with the launch of the 1199 Panigale superbike, and the introduction of not only ABS (for the first time on their superbikes) but a long list of other electronic goodies, such as ESA (electronic suspension adjustment) and quick shifter. Although BMW introduced ABS in 1988, ESA in 2003 and quick shifter in 2008, it took Ducati a while to rise to the challenge. Today, due to proliferation of electronic ride assists, BMW no longer has the tech advantage that it used to. After riding the Pani for a while, I wrote the most detailed review of it, at first for my forums and then as a cover story with photography for Backroads USA print mag. I covered every nuance of the machine, and explained every small feature and option. Similar to the Diavel experience, I found that the Panigale had nothing in common with my K13S. but I would have kept one in my garage just for the sound of the engine alone. People dont set land speed records on Ducatis, because they arent good high-speed straight-line machines. I am used to bikes that come their own and settle in at a very smooth 125+ MPH. You can ride them all day at 140 MPH cruising speeds with zero vibration. With the Panigale, it felt the engine was going to either explode or fall off at 90 MPH. The V2 Pani is made only for racing on tight twisty tracks, thats all. Its no match for high performance Inline 4s, however, I found it to have 2 other qualities, intoxicating engine noise, and act as a cool low speed cruiser. It was specially good for winter riding with a very hot seat positioned above the exhaust. I tested the 1199 Pani in winter with temps in the high 40s (f) and it was very pleasant. The bike felt like it had heated seat set at high. I cant imagine putting a lot of miles on it in summer, specially in traffic. Along the way, I did, very politely, reject a fulltime position with Ducati and stated that I prefer to work as an independent contractor. Frankly, I dont recall the last time I worked fulltime anywhere. It may have been in the late 80s or early 90s. Even when I ran the online/digital division of a medium sized Wall Street firm in Manhattan for a few years around 2000, I had it in the agreement that Id show up only 4 days a week and even that was 2 days too many to be in the office. This is not an indicator on workload, its because I am way too intuitive, extremely fast at what I do and a-do-it-all talent that frankly 2 days is all youd need me in the office anyway. Since then, of course, 4-day work week is soon becoming a reality and working from home (not showing up at the office) a necessity for mental health. Also, you make way more as an independent contractor (AKA consultant) billing directly under your own company. The US offices of Euro moto brands are miniscule and they dont have the kind of budgets to attract major talents in any capacity. The salaries they offer (with no perks or sign-up bonuses at all) wouldnt attract a 22-year-old in the Tech industry. Lastly, once you agree to go fulltime, they work you 7 days a week (because they are so short staffed). At BMW, my billing rate was on par or higher than their fulltime section managers, and I was saving the brand a couple of hundred thousand a year by eliminating the need to engage an established advertising agency. That was one of the main reasons (the other my love for what the brand used to be) that I stayed for as long as I did at BMW, even though the atmosphere became extremely toxic along the way. Ducati, of course, has since shifted to V4s for their premium lineup and are planning further expansion into the Asian market. Ducati remains today as the only, sort of, purist 2-wheel brand. I say sort of, because when you start giving away rebadging rights and putting your prestigious logo on cheap offerings like the Scrambler and the soon to be released 1-cylinder bikes, you lose your sparkle. Imagine if Ferrari made cheap 4-cylinder cars. The horror! But none of this matter, since the golden age of high-performance internal combustion motorcycling with various methods of propulsion, whether V2, V4, L2, I4 and 6 (excluding that boxer crap) is coming to an end. It was a privilege to be a useful part of it and to have made a difference along the way. Cheers! PART 15 (October 18, 2023): The Hypocrisy of Ducati I am a fan of Ducati design, and have said it a few times that they have some of the best moto designers in the world. They should be applauded for that. They also can be full of crap at times. They famously claim that they are the Ferrari of bikes, yet you can buy a Duc for cheap and now they plan to go even cheaper. Yes, sadly, Ducati has fully sold out and are joining the el cheapo Asian bike caravan. How sad! What a way to destroy the prestige of their brand. Why
Ferrari is a Ferrari and not a Fiat Why is Duc
Pushing Dirt Cheap? 2. Get
off dirt. Be road only, like Ferrari. PART 16 (September 19, 2024): Ducati
Desmo 450MX and the New Panigale V4 Are Scooters and 300cc Rebadged
Asian Variants Next?
New Ducati Panigale V4 is Not Pretty and has an Ugly Nose I planned to create a separate editorial for the new Pani V4, however, the styling is just meh. I get it, they are going after function, but at the cost of looks? Come on, you are Ducati, you're supposed to be in the business of shock and awe, not mainstream mediocrity. The new Pani V4 has a super long list of electronic ride assists. Granted they are all designed by Bosch and will appear on the next sport bikes from BMW as well, but the list is exhaustive. Having said all that, the base model which costs about $30K, out the door, doesnt have electronic suspension adjustment, you have to pay near $40K for the S model. I am OK with Ducati charging whatever they want for their bikes. Since they cater to a cult-like following, you might as well milk them for all they got.
Speaking of VW, they are to shut down some factories in Europe, due to serious competition from the Chinese brands. In the US, Ford boss warns that Chinese cars could devastate US auto industry. This is true with bikes as well. Granted, brands like BMW and Ducati, maybe safe, but the others could lose serious marketshare to the Chinese brands.
Ducati of Detroit has License Revoked Running a premium motorcycle dealership is difficult and costly. There is a saying, how do you make a million dollars from a motorcycle dealership, you start with 3. Due to various unlawful shenanigans, the state of Michigan has pulled the license on Duc of Detroit. These accusations include, fraud, forgery, and altered delivery dates. According to the report, the issues at the dealership started in May 2017 when a general compliance inspection uncovered the dealership was not submitting proper sales tax, as well as fraudulent acts in connection with selling vehicles.
Both BMW and Ducati Sales are Down Globally The reason we havent received any self-congratulatory press releases (like my writings in every issue of MOTO) from BMW or Ducati telling the world how smart their executives are, is because both brands are down. The only time these 2 brands release sales data is when things are looking good. As I have said before, whatever happens at BMW moto and Ducati, stays at BMW moto and Ducati, their parent companies dont want any involvement due to the minuscule nature of their volume. They are being tolerated, but just marginally. |
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